This solicitation closed on August 19, 2026

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MDA26TZ04-NP002ClosedSBIR

Open Topic for Historical Radiation Data Analysis for Enhanced Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Modeling and Prediction

Department of DefenseMDA

AI Overview

This RFP seeks statistical analysis of historical radiation data to develop predictive models for space system performance, enabling the Department of War to reduce costly radiation testing requirements while maintaining system survivability in space environments.

This summary is AI-generated from the official solicitation.

Key Details

Agency
Department of Defense
Funding Amount
Release Date
July 1, 2026
Due Date
August 19, 2026 (Closed)

Official Description

The performance and survivability of Department of War (DoW) and space systems, especially those operating in space environments, are critically affected by radiation. Radiation testing of parts are major cost and schedule drivers for DoW and space systems. This topic seeks to conduct a rigorous statistical analysis of long-term radiation trends and their impact with the goal of either reducing or justifying the need for rigorous and costly radiation testing. DoW systems must determine a part’s ...

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Change History

Status ChangedAug 19, 2026 at 4:01 PM

Open Topic for Historical Radiation Data Analysis for Enhanced Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Modeling and Prediction

Status changed from Open to Closed after topic disappearance

Q&A UpdatedAug 11, 2026 at 8:01 PM

Open Topic for Historical Radiation Data Analysis for Enhanced Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Modeling and Prediction

**Key Changes to Q&A Section:** Added 6 new questions (Q1-Q6) clarifying: - **ITAR compliance**: Derived analyses from public data sources require review of Traffic in Arms Regulations - **Uncertainty quantification**: "Design margin" references Mil-HDBKs radiation hardness standards; predictions can be at part, part-family, or device level - **Data sources**: Both ground-test failures AND on-orbit/flight test failures acceptable - **System specificity**: Representative DoW components/systems suffice; no specific fielded system data required - **"High energy events"**: Refers broadly to any ionizing radiation sources, not limited to natural space events Reposted original Q1-Q2 as Q7-Q8 with identical answers. All responses emphasize flexibility and breadth in approach while requiring in-depth validation.

Status ChangedJul 22, 2026 at 1:03 PM

Open Topic for Historical Radiation Data Analysis for Enhanced Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Modeling and Prediction

Status changed from Pre-Release to Open

Q&A UpdatedJul 9, 2026 at 1:01 PM

Open Topic for Historical Radiation Data Analysis for Enhanced Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Modeling and Prediction

This Q&A clarifies that proposers have significant flexibility: they can focus on any radiation environment subset with deep validation, use publicly available datasets, pursue either test-reduction or test-prioritization approaches (or both), and demonstrate success through multiple valid metrics (accuracy, test-planning utility, trend discovery, or failure explanation)—enabling diverse solution pathways rather than a single prescribed approach.

Opportunity AddedJul 1, 2026 at 12:02 PM

Open Topic for Historical Radiation Data Analysis for Enhanced Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Modeling and Prediction

New opportunity: Open Topic for Historical Radiation Data Analysis for Enhanced Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Modeling and Prediction

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