DPA26BZ04-DV015Pre-ReleaseSBIR

Art of Novel Signals: Predicting and Forecasting with High Confidence

Department of DefenseDARPA

AI Overview

This SBIR seeks to develop automatic speech recognition and forecasting models that extract geopolitical early-warning signals from multilingual radio, local news, and community audio in data-sparse regions where conventional intelligence collection is limited. The approach combines online streaming ingestion with software-defined radio receivers to improve conflict prediction accuracy from roughly 80% to 90%.

This summary is AI-generated from the official solicitation.

Key Details

Agency
Department of Defense
Funding Amount
Release Date
July 1, 2026
Due Date
August 19, 2026

Official Description

The frontier of predictive AI is running into a data wall: the high-quality open text that has powered recent models is largely exhausted, and the two ways around it both have ceilings. Reusing existing data yields little after a few passes, and synthetic data degrades models once it grows past a curated minority of the mix. Neither route creates a genuinely new signal.This SBIR idea seeks to break the wall with signal that was never in the training distribution to begin with: multilingual radio...

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Change History

Opportunity AddedJul 1, 2026 at 12:02 PM

Art of Novel Signals: Predicting and Forecasting with High Confidence

New opportunity: Art of Novel Signals: Predicting and Forecasting with High Confidence

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